2013 Midseason Report

Here we are, at the break of our first "post-expansion" season. It's been anything but dull, with many surprise teams making pushes for division titles and just about everyone in the wildcard race. The new Amateur Draft system was a hit, and now everyone is looking forward to a few days off to regroup for the stretch run. With just 6 sims until the trade deadline, I'm looking for the wheeling and dealing to really come fast and furious. 

Time to see how we're doing prediction-wise so far this year.


North Division

Darin's Take:   The North has been turned on its head this season, thanks to a resurgent Philly team and the mysterious downfall of the defending champion Sailors. The Fever have a nice lead, but nothing is safe in baseball, so no one should give up at this point. With all the division games this year and a wide open trade market, any one of these teams could come out on top, but for now Philly looks good for a return trip to the post season.

Tom's Take: Philly is running away with this thing, and that’s about the last thing we expected to see.  While it’s hard not to root for them after the years in the cellar, it’s also hard to feel confident there isn’t a slide in their future that will make this thing a race by the end.  Question is, who’s it gonna be?  Halifax just picked up Beckett, so they aren’t quitting, Bedford has a better chance than usual with only Philly to chase.   Somebody will be there, I guarantee.  I just don’t know who.

 




Predicted Finish:  Darin: Last in North / Tom: 2nd in North

Current Standing:  52-37 (1st in North)

Team BA/Runs Scored:  .273 / 410

Team ERA/Runs Allowed:  3.46 / 327

Current Team Salary:  $75,800,000

All-Star Selections:  P Brandon Webb, 3B Hank Blalock


 


Darin's Take

First Half
Recap:

Philly has definitely been the surprise team of the first half, rocketing out of last place for a healthy 9.5 game lead over their North Division competition. I didn't think the off season moves were enough to kick start the team, but Bobby Brownlie's success seems to be contagious, with Penny, Webb and Cotts (!!) all having comeback seasons. The bullpen (outside of long relief) has been solid as well. The offense lacks a true superstar, but everyone has pulled their weight, including rookie C Matthew Spring (14 HR). Jay Bruce has been outstanding in CF, and the acquisition of Miguel Cabrera has paid off in spades. 

Biggest Surprise:

A lot of candidates here, but I'll go with Neal Cotts. He's 9-5 and his ERA is over 1.5 runs below his career mark. Without his success, the team is forced to play a guy like Meche or Affeldt.  

Biggest Disappointment:

Despite leading the team in saves, rookie Mark Romanczuck is getting boxed around quite a bit, giving up an OpAvg of .319 and a WHIP of 1.77. Not good stats for your closer.

Man on the Spot Update:

Brandon Webb has been outstanding. The All Star is not only a front running Comeback Player candidate, but a legit Cy Young threat as well. 9-1, 2.08 ERA, just 7 HR allowed and a K/BB rate over 9:1. 

First Half MVP:

See above. Webb has been the man so far. His return to form has revitalized this pitching staff.

Second Half Preview:

Philly has to avoid a let down in the second half while they weather the injury of Will Hunting. Though the team has no obvious holes, it's worth keeping an eye on the trade market to see where improvements can be made. Considering the other teams in the division, I think it would be a major choke job if Philly didn't make the playoffs. If the pitching staff enters October healthy and rested, this team could be big trouble.

Tom's Take

First Half
Recap:

Is there a new pitching coach in Philly?  Suddenly, the Fever are the best staff in SLB.  That and some good hitting from non-Sophomore-slumping Cooper Osteen, Blalock and Bruce means the Fever are alone at the top.  We’ve seen teams with some history of struggles get off to a hot start and cool off, but so far, Philly seems to be stretching the lead, not losing it.

Biggest Surprise:

That the team is in first place.  Duh.  For a player, it’s probably Neil Cotts.  He’s had off and on success, but his 9 wins are definitely more than we’d have expected.

Biggest Disappointment:

Miguel Cabrera is leading the team in HR but his .263 Avg. is 50 pts below his career average.  On the bright side, he’s almost a lock to bring that up by the end of the year.

Man on the Spot Update:

Wily Mo Pena is still disappointing, but it’s not hurting the Fever so far.

First Half MVP:

Brandon Webb.  9-1 is just icing down the league and with a 2.10 ERA.  He’s “on” this year.

Second Half Preview:

The Fever have to weather the Will Hunting injury and maybe make a deal to get another bullpen arm, especially with Romanczuk posting a high ERA as the closer.  Some of it is just out of their hands as they’ll have some division rivals making their own moves.  Still, they are in the driver’s seat and could be back in the playoffs for the first time in a long, long while.

Down on the Farm:

Best record in AAA this year, thanks to some stupid good hitting and the ever-dominating Chris Reitsma. This team can really develop hitters, as evidenced by the progress of Lambert, Pepper and Armbruster. Rookie League added in Harrison and Hunter, giving Philly a spoil of riches in the hitting department.

 




Predicted Finish:  Darin: 3rd in North / Tom: Last in North

Current Standing:  43-47 (2nd in North, 9.5 games out)

Team BA/Runs Scored:  .257 / 351

Team ERA/Runs Allowed:  4.32 / 412

Current Team Salary:  $68,600,000

All-Star Selections:  SS Jimmy Rollins, CF Carlos Beltran


 


Darin's Take

First Half
Recap:

Expectations weren't terribly high for the Dawgs in 2013, and so far, the team has been predictably mediocre. Despite another off season marked by high roster turnover, the team hasn't really gelled, leaving them under .500 and nearly 10 games out of first. Many of those player acquisitions have been quite good, including Jason Jennings (8-3), K-Rod (2.41 ERA) and Peavy (7-6). GM Mike McAvoy has been busy on the trade market (as usual), landing some key players in All Stars Jimmy Rollins and Carlos Beltran, as well as surprise rookie Sterling Ritter. The team doesn't hit very well, and there are some holes in the staff. Rookie Calvin Y'Barra is 4-4, but has a 5.11 ERA and has given up 23 dingers in just 100 IP.  

Biggest Surprise:

Sterling Ritter was an unheralded rookie who came over from San Juan in the Aubrey Huff deal. He's quietly hit .306, 8, 26 in his first year.  

Biggest Disappointment:

Alex Gordon. He had a decent month of May, but overall, McAvoy was hoping for much more than .250, 7, 35, especially after he hit .283 last fall. He just hasn't become the #3 hitter the team envisioned. 

Man on the Spot Update:

I pegged second year pitcher Daniel Pursel here, and he hasn't done much to complain about. 6-7, 3.97 with a 10:1 K/BB ratio is pretty great for a young pitcher in this league. 

First Half MVP:

Jason Jennings has been the one pitcher to win consistently despite low run support. He's 5 over .500 on a team that's 4 under; clearly the ace of the staff. If he's at or below .500, the Dawgs may be in last place.

Second Half Preview:

So, what direction is the team heading? The trading has been confusing, as early deals sent away vets for prospects, but recent moves have vets being added. There isn't much time left to decide if the team is a contender, so McAvoy needs to be on the ball here. Cleveland is just 5.5 out of the wildcard, but have a lot of teams to pass for a spot. 

Tom's Take

First Half
Recap:

After the usual shake up, Mike McAvoy ended up throwing together a pretty ramshackle pitching staff.  Jason Jennings is having a pretty good year, but the rest of the staff is between mediocre and bad.  The team also lacks any real offensive stars.  Every year is sort of rebuilding year in Cleveland, but this one might be a real season to just rethink the direction.

Biggest Surprise:

Sterling Ritter, an unheralded rookie 1B is leading the starters in batting average with .306.  Wasn’t on my radar screen.

Biggest Disappointment:

Jeff Weaver.   Back to sucking.

Man on the Spot Update:

Pursel has been an average or above average starter, under 4.00 ERA, can’t ask for much more.

First Half MVP:

Probably Jason Jennings.  His 8-3 record shows he can win just about anywhere, not just on teams with big time run support.

Second Half Preview:

You figure McAvoy has a few deals left to make.  Question is, are those deals to try to close down the gap with Philly or deals to add some youth?  They don’t have a lot of time to make the call and I’d have a hard time buying this  offense plus this pitching can equal a playoff trip.  But the Dawgs usually prove me wrong.

Down on the Farm:

Not much shaking in Hawaii. Roe and Rothchild had great relief stints, though the latter hasn't pitched well in the majors. Decent power in the minors, but no one can hit very well. McAvoy went with all pitching in the Amateur Draft, producing mixed results. Swingle pitched well, Dedaux showed promise, while Miller, Hobbs and Unger all got shelled.

 




Predicted Finish:  Darin: 1st in North / Tom: 3rd in North

Current Standing:  42-48 (3rd in North, 10.5 game out)

Team BA/Runs Scored:  .247 / 330

Team ERA/Runs Allowed:  3.96 / 370

Current Team Salary:  $72,100,000 

All-Star Selections:  P Brett Myers (alt.)


 


Darin's Take

First Half
Recap:

Fool me twice....Bedford screws me again. I picked the Crunch to win the division, and so they wallow in 3rd place. I may have to join Tom in never picking them to win ever again. The team just can't hit, wasting what has been an above average pitching staff. Talk about lack of run support. Kelvim Escobar is on suicide watch with his 4-9, 2.30 mark, while Dontrelle Willis feels his pain at 5-7, 3.26. Jason Ray has been great as a rookie closer, but the rest of the pen sucks. The offense has been lame, with 13 HR and 42 RBI leading the team. Another dead ball era in Brooklyn? Eric Chavez has been real bad, and David Ortiz, who is finally hitting .300 for once, has just 23 RBI.

Biggest Surprise:

Tough call, as no one has been great. Yadel Marti has battled through the run support drought and posted a 7-6 first half record in his rookie year.  

Biggest Disappointment:

Eric Chavez is a first ballot Hall of Famer who can usually be counted on to provide the team with run production, but this year he has floundered to a .249, 9, 29 line. Ugly. 

Man on the Spot Update:

I said that Troy Glaus needed to put up All Star numbers for this team, but his career seems over, as he's hitting just .245 with 13 HR. 

First Half MVP:

Despite being 5 under, Kelvim Escobar has pitched like a rock star. 2.30 ERA, 14 quality starts, 0.95 WHIP...awesome. This guy could get some serious return on the open market.

Second Half Preview:

The team looks good on paper, so I'm not sure what can be done to fix it here in the second half. Unless GM Richard Gin wants to blow the thing up, it's not worth making cosmetic changes here and there. Stay the course? 

Tom's Take

First Half
Recap:

Bedford has just been hanging around this year.  An infield full of big names isn’t getting it done and superb pitching from Dontrelle Willis and Kelvim Escobar is going to waste.  Rookie Yadel Marti has been a bright spot and somehow Brett Myers got to the All-Star game.  But, yeah, it’s pretty much another ho-hum year in Bed-Stuy.

Biggest Surprise:

Brett Myers going to the All-Star game.  Yeah, it’s kind of a back handed compliment, though, since he’s only going because nobody else on the Crunch really deserves to go.

Biggest Disappointment:

Lots to pick from here.  I guess you have to go with Eric Chavez, though.  What happened to him?  This was one of the top 3 3B easy until this year.  The Crunch had come to consider .300 and 80 extra base hits from him to be money in the bank.

Man on the Spot Update:

Glaus has .733 OPS, very disappointing.  Yeah, you can blame him quite a bit for the lackluster offense.

First Half MVP:

It oughta be Kelvim Escobar, but how do you give it to a guy who is 4-9?  How about Aquilino Lopez leading the team in wins out of the bullpen?  Oh, yeah, 5.70 ERA.  Beats me.

Second Half Preview:

I’d be more inclined to think this team could make a run for it than the Dawgs or the Sailors, based on the ever crucial pitching.  Chavez, Glaus, and Tejada are all well under their career averages, so if they are all in a slump and ready to bust out, this team could make up ground fast.  But it’s always more “coulda, woulda, shoulda” with this team isn’t it?

Down on the Farm:

The Detroit team is getting better, thanks to some quality bats and the emergence of Pitcher of the Year Luke Hochevar. Alexander Avila is one of the best power bats in the minors, but is blocked by Chavez and Glaus in the majors. Basil Elton-John played as advertised, belting 11 HR in Rookie ball. Could be future corner infielders of the franchise. The team needs to add to its pitching depth. 




Predicted Finish:  Darin: 2nd in North / Tom: 1st in North

Current Standing:  40-50 (Last in North, 12.5 games out)

Team BA/Runs Scored:  .243 / 304

Team ERA/Runs Allowed:  3.81 / 360

Current Team Salary:  $77,650,000

All-Star Selections:  P Josh Beckett, P Craig Hansen, C Kenji Johjima, 1B Prince Fielder


 


Darin's Take

First Half
Recap:

How the mighty have fallen. 2012's World Series Champs find themselves in last place, and no one is quite sure why. The team is more or less the same as last year, but the offense has dried up. Perhaps Sean Burroughs and C.C. Sabathia, two players let go this off season, were really the heart of this ball club. Sabathia was let go for financial reasons, so Burroughs was dealt for McCormick who, to this point, has not panned out. Paul Phillips was seemingly a flash in the pan last year, and both Delmon Young and Prince Fielder (All Star???) have been complete busts. Josh Beckett was traded to Scotland, then to Baltimore, and now back to Halifax. I have no idea what is going on here. 

Biggest Surprise:

Looky here. Adam Wainwright is useful after all. The much maligned hurler is 7-7, 3.77 and lead the staff in ERA until the recent reacquisition of Beckett. He also leads the team in quality starts. 

Biggest Disappointment:

So many choices. T.J. Mackey with just 18 RBI? Fielder's .201average? Paul Phillips' failure to follow up on 2012? Too many to list. 

Man on the Spot Update:

Adam Wainwright has been much, much better than expected. Good for him.

First Half MVP:

The back end of the bullpen. The team has trouble scoring runs (in fact, they are dead last in that category) so you need guys to shut it down in those close games. Hansen, Gatsby and Benitez have been among the best late inning trios in baseball.

Second Half Preview:

If GM Lars Cain can figure out why the offense is dead, then by all means fix it, but it's tough going when the same guys who won you the trophy last year suddenly can't play. Reacquiring Beckett leads you to believe that Cain isn't throwing in the towel, so it will be interesting to see what other moves are made before the deadline. If Davie, Fielder or Young can get hot, maybe the team has an outside shot at the wildcard. A lot of strange things would need to happen, but we've seen our share of strange things the past 9 seasons.

Tom's Take

First Half
Recap:

Picked ‘em for first and there they are in last.  Nice frickin’ job Sailors.  It’s not really big injuries so much as usually reliable hitters like Barfield and Fielder having dismal years plus the loss of ace CC Sabathia that has sent Lars’s team back to the cellar.  They made the move they needed to in adding Beckett, but they have a pretty big hole to dig out of.

Biggest Surprise:

Craig Hansen.  Don’t know what got into this dude, but he’s unhittable this year.  Has a .143 OAvg.  Sick.

Biggest Disappointment:

Prince Fielder.  .201?  What the hell, man?

Man on the Spot Update:

Marquis put up good numbers before injury hit and then he was traded.  Could have used him, though.

First Half MVP:

Probably Graham Koonce.  The .240 BA isn’t pretty but he does have 19 HR.  He can jack ‘em.

Second Half Preview:

Expect them to make up some ground.  Much like Bedford, you’d assume the guys that are having bad seasons first half will play much better in the second and replacing Kris Benson in the order with Beckett is a huge improvement.  But the rest of the ro’ doesn’t have what it takes to make up 12 games.

Down on the Farm:

I think Lars Cain takes pride in how awful his Vancouver squad is. I mean seriously, this farm system is pretty barren. Brett Caldwell is the only guy you have much faith in, though Marc Maddox and Bob Corcoran made big splashes in rookie ball. Bill Carroll might have been the steal of this year's draft, going late in the 2nd round but out-pitching most other Ammy pitchers.

 


South Division

Darin's Take: This is the one division that is falling out pretty much how I predicted, at least in terms of order of finish. Atlanta is pasting people, Savannah leads the wildcard, and the expansion Senadores are easily holding off the lowly Panthers. What I didn't count on was San Juan being serious postseason contenders. Could we see both wildcard teams come from this division? It wouldn't surprise me, as at times, the third place team here would be in first in any other division in the league.

Tom's Take: Atlanta is just a nasty, nasty team.  They are really in class by themselves.  Throw that team out and you have two teams, Savannah and San Juan, competing for first in any other division and both have Wild Card hopes.  Baltimore is just a mess and will be the first team eliminated from division contention—sometime in August. 

 





Predicted Finish:  Darin: 1st in South / Tom: 1st in South

Current Standing:  63-25 (1st in South)

Team BA/Runs Scored:  .293 / 507

Team ERA/Runs Allowed:  3.51 / 320

Current Team Salary:  $73,650,000

All-Star Selections: P Homer Bailey, P Tosekawa Mahara, P Kelly Wunsch, C Troy Paris, 1B Carlos Pena, 2B Jed Lowrie, 3B Morgan Ensberg, LF Jacque Jones, CF Darren Lemming, RF Dennis Dennis, Jr.


 


Darin's Take

First Half
Recap:

It's been another dominating performance from the Flyers, a team that after years of finishing last, now can't seem to do any wrong. Carlos Zambrano went down the first week of May but the team hasn't missed a beat. Lemming is having another MVP caliber year (though Dave Peppers may give him a run for his money) and the pitching staff is awesome. An SLB record 10 players made the All Star team. What's the matter Jim, can't get a good SS? The inclusion of Pena (.246) over Lind (.355) at first base is odd. I thought the Flyers had a chance at having four pitchers in double figure wins by now, but Pavano and Prior have only 9 and 8 respectively (poor dears). Jed Lowrie looks to be the team's, what 27th Rookie of the Year? The team has lost just 3 series all year, 2 to San Juan. 

Biggest Surprise:

Tough call between Jones and Lind, but I'll go with Lind. Just the other day I get a lineup update for the team and see Lind batting cleanup. My first reaction is "Lind? Over Lemming, Paris, D2J, whoever? Lind?" Then I see that the kid is hitting .355 and OPS'ing 1.026 and I understood.  

Biggest Disappointment:

There isn't a bad player here really (okay, Mike Beck, but what did you expect?) so I'll say I'm most disappointed that Gabriel Hernandez isn't getting a shot at the #5 spot instead of Mark Rogers. Hernandez was unbelievably good in both AAA and Rookie League...Rogers has been mediocre at best in the majors. 

Man on the Spot Update:

I put Troy Paris on the hot seat this year, mostly because Jeff Clement seemed like the right guy this year, but Paris has come through, making the All Star team while driving in 53 runs, good for 2nd best on the team. Jim can now say "I told you so."

First Half MVP:

In the easiest choice of all time, I go with Darren Lemming, who is a god among boys in this league. Seriously, 95 RBI at the break? For some perspective, the guy is 26 years old, in his 4th season, and already has 166 HR and 134 SB in his career. Lemming will hold every offensive record there is by the time he retires.

Second Half Preview:

More of the same, right? Lemming looks to break Barry Bonds' HR and RBI records (and probably a half dozen others) while Bailey and Mahara roll towards 20 wins. Outside of Big Z, the team is healthy, and the division could easily be wrapped up by early September. Maybe this year Jim will rest the starters and set up his post season rotation....

Tom's Take

First Half
Recap:

You couldn’t ask for anything more, really.  Damn near the whole team is headed to the All-Star game and they have a comfortable lead.  They are 2nd in both team offense and team pitching so that means this is really the only team that can do both so well.  And they’ve done it with Carlos Zambrano out for most of the year.  Scary.

Biggest Surprise:

Not much really surprised me here, but Jacque Jones hitting 20 HR by the break pretty much tells you that this team can do no wrong.

Biggest Disappointment:

Troy Paris is sort of scuffling along.  No big deal, though, since that might mean that Jeffrey Clement finally gets the call up.

Man on the Spot Update:

Lowerie’s been awesome, hitting .320.  Of course.  Can do no wrong.

First Half MVP:

Darren Lemming.  Do you have to ask?  Well, OK, maybe Lowrie, since he’s really stepping up.  Or Bailey on the pitching side.  Pick anybody in the lineup, really.

Second Half Preview:

Stay healthy, win the World Series.  Otherwise, it’s kind of a disappointment.

Down on the Farm:

Good in the majors, good in the minors. The hitting is just silly, lead by Jeffrey Clement, who combined for 43 HR and 107 RBI is 113 games this summer. Burns and Golson would be starting OF's on Taipei. Josh Brady had a decent AAA season, but went nuts in rookie ball. Gabe Hernandez really deserves a shot now. 14-5 combined record this year, and a career 45-25 in seven minor league seasons. He ain't getting any younger! Tucker is another guy who can slot in next year if Prior isn't retained.

 




Predicted Finish:  Darin: 2nd in South / Tom 2nd in South

Current Standing:  52-36 (2nd in South, 11.0 games out)

Team BA/Runs Scored:  .270 / 417

Team ERA/Runs Allowed:  3.57 / 324

Current Team Salary:  $76,200,000

All-Star Selections:  P Eric Gagne, P Phillip Humber, P Roy Oswalt, 3B Sean Burroughs, SS Angel Berroa


 


Darin's Take

First Half
Recap:

After losing 8 of their first 10 games, the Sabers have been red hot, going 50-28 and firmly establishing themselves as a playoff contender. Savannah wins on pitching, timely hitting, and defense, scoring 417 runs (4th highest in the league) on just 89 HR (5th lowest) and commit very few errors. Sean Burroughs just wins everywhere he plays, leading his team in triples, runs, homers and RBI, while Jay Gibbons is producing runs without the longball. Fantastic pitching in the starting rotation, with the Roy's and Humber doing the damage. Carlos Hernandez has stepped it up this year, making the loss of McCormick not much of a loss at all (especially since he netted the team Burroughs) and Gagne made yet another ASG as an elite closer. The rest of the bullpen needs work, but the team seems to be winning in spite of their inflated ERA's. 

Biggest Surprise:

Despite his losing record, Randy Wolf has finally decided to pitch this year. The guy is always on a team somewhere, but his ERA is over 1.50 runs below his career mark of 4.78. Throw Steve Colyer in there too, doing well in middle relief. 

Biggest Disappointment:

Todd Linden hasn't played full time, but his numbers are less than in year's past. I think GM Richard Vohs was expecting more than 19 RBI from his LF at the break. 

Man on the Spot Update:

Gibbons isn't going to set any records for run production, but he has matched Burroughs in RBI and has been a rock in this lineup. 

First Half MVP:

Roy Oswalt has been all world. 9-1, 1.76 ERA puts him among the front runners for Cy Young. Not bad for a guy supposedly past his prime.

Second Half Preview:

The Sabers are on pace to finish with the second best record in baseball, but since they're in the same division as the Flyers, that will mean a wildcard instead of a first round bye. If Vohs can address his middle relief issues and maybe get one more bat in the lineup, this team could make it back to the World Series for a second straight year. 

Tom's Take

First Half
Recap:

Pretty much what we expected.  They’d be in first place in any division that the Flyers weren’t in, so they are well on track for a Wild Card spot.  This team is all about pitching and so far Roy Oswalt is putting on a helluva show.  Humber isn’t as dominating as last year, but he’s still impressive and even Randy Wolf is pitching like an ace.  Too bad they have about the same number of team HR as Dave Peppers has himself.

Biggest Surprise:

I think Dante Inferno going 5-0 and leading the team in appearances.  He’s been pretty questionable in most people’s minds as a reliable reliever.  This year he is.

Biggest Disappointment:

The lack of power.  Burroughs is leading the team in HR and is on pace to hit about 25. 

Man on the Spot Update:

Hawpe hasn’t stepped it up.  .276 with 8 HR.  Not what you want from a corner IF.

First Half MVP:

Roy Oswalt.  He’s been all-world this year.

Second Half Preview:

The Wild Card and a quick exit in the playoffs.  Pitching wins championships, yeah, but in SLB, you have to have a bone-crushing offense, too, and this team hasn’t got enough to crack your pinky.  Plus the bullpen is iffy.  Can they trade for some power without giving up too much?  Could spell the difference if this team wants a shot at shocking Atlanta again.

Down on the Farm:

A decent year in Tampa, with improved hitting from Sundestrom and Tobin. Kyle Winters continues to be the best relief prospect in baseball, posting a 1.71 ERA. Rand McPherson has been decent, but not dominant enough to make you believe he's ready for a promotion. This year's draft class all had promising starts in RL. 

 




Predicted Finish:  Darin: 3rd in South / Tom: 3rd in South

Current Standing:  49-42 (3rd in South, 15.5 games out)

Team BA/Runs Scored:  .265 / 353

Team ERA/Runs Allowed:  3.50 / 347

Current Team Salary:  $65,400,000 ($200,000 luxury tax)

All-Star Selections:  1B Travis Hafner


 


Darin's Take

First Half
Recap:

On the one hand, I was right about San Juan outplaying Baltimore. On the other, I believe I used the words "just manage to avoid last place" in my preseason write ups. But hey, this is an expansion team, so who could have predicted that they would be playoff contenders right away? The pitching has been very good, with the back end of the rotation and middle relief playing better than expected, and the offense has overcome the lack of power to keep the team in close games. The team is dead last in homers, but second in stolen bases, coming in 12th in the league in runs scored (though just 2 runs out of 10th). To this point, the aggressive approach to building the team has paid off, with Sabathia and Haren playing outstanding ball, and trades for Huff and Nady boosting the lineup enough to contend. It's been exciting.

Biggest Surprise:

Andrew Brown has a 2.70 ERA despite the hot weather on Puerto Rico. Seth McClung, a total scrap heap pickup, has been decent as well. It helps when the marginal players that an expansion team is forced to fill the roster with come through and play. 

Biggest Disappointment:

I think if you ask GM Bill Gluvna, he'd say rookie OF Cameron Johnson, who showed speed but had 0 HR and just 9 RBI before being demoted to Caracas.

Man on the Spot Update:

Hafner was clearly the man to drive in runs in this lineup, and I stated that a repeat of his 68 RBI line in 2012 wouldn't cut it. He's on pace for around 80 RBI this year, so he's stepping it up.

First Half MVP:

I'll go with the two-headed monster of Street and Papelbon. Both have 4 wins and nearly identical ERA's (around 1.71) in relief, making comeback wins against San Juan a near impossibility. Enjoy it while it lasts, Bill, as I predict these guys are going to get huge pay increases this off season.

Second Half Preview:

Gluvna came in with a reputation for wheeling and dealing, but has been pretty quiet on the trade market thus far. Clearly the team is in a position to make the playoffs, so I expect to see some deals at the deadline, especially for offense. The question will be how much of his team's future he's willing to mortgage for a shot at the championship right out of the gate. Some improvements are likely to come internally, as inside sources say that 2013 draftees Floyd Larkin and Adam Abraham are likely to get called up after the break. 

Tom's Take

First Half
Recap:

We’re supposed to be shocked that an expansion team still has playoff hopes alive, but I, for one, am not really.  You knew Bill Gluvna was going to put a competitive team on the field ASAP and once the pitching on this team started filling in, it was clear they’d be able to stay with the big dogs.  Sabathia has done as promised but the real heroes have been Andrew Brown and the rookie bullpen aces.

Biggest Surprise:

That they are still in the Wild Card race.  Player would be either Street or Papelbon.  Both are the real deal.

Biggest Disappointment:

Rocco Baldelli isn’t making my comeback prediction look so hot.

Man on the Spot Update:

Baldelli didn’t get any better by getting more AB.  Funny how that works. 

First Half MVP:

Travis Hafner.  They needed somebody to step up and provide some power and he’s doing the job.

Second Half Preview:

They may be content to have just put up a good fight.  Getting the WC means besting either Savannah or whoever hangs around from the Far East, which is a tall order.  But, if they make the right call up or get some better production out of McCann, Milledge and Izturis, anything is possible.

Down on the Farm:

Caracas sported a pair of strong first basemen in Niekro and Hare, both of whom hit for high average, power, and a lot of RBI. The entire team hit well, but we're not sure if the heat in Venezuela contributed to that. It certainly didn't help the pitching. More good draftees here, with Floyd Larkin and Buzz Bliss getting Senadore fans excited. Eddie Degerman has a lot of promise as well. Nice start to the minor league system.

 





Predicted Finish:  Darin: Last in South / Tom: Last in South

Current Standing:  34-54 (Last in South, 29.0 games out)

Team BA/Runs Scored:  .255 / 354

Team ERA/Runs Allowed:  5.20 / 460

Current Team Salary:  $68,010,000 

All-Star Selections:  P Mitchell Atkins (alt.)


 


Darin's Take

First Half
Recap:

This just in: The Panthers Suck at Baseball. Seriously, who's surprised? Baltimore has the worst record in the league (yes, worse than expansion Taipei) thanks mostly to a league worst team ERA. We warned that the margin for error was slim in this new 4 team division alignment, and with San Juan surprising the league, Baltimore is pretty much locked for last place. The off season has proven to be disastrous, as the losses of Wolf and Pavano vs. the addition of Sowers and Switzer has been a total fiasco. Sowers leads the league in losses while Switzer somehow can't crack the rotation despite a good ERA. Guerrero, McPherson and Wright have been pretty good, and rookie John Mayberry has been decent if not spectacular, but the team is still in the lower third in runs scored. Montgomery needs to be shitcanned, and rookie El Ron Ubardo was clearly rushed to the majors. 

Biggest Surprise:

I guess Mitchell Atkins is for real. 0.73 ERA? Wow. 

Biggest Disappointment:

Where to start? Clearly no one would have predicted Sowers would go bad this year, as he entered the season with a winning career record. Goat of the Year?

Man on the Spot Update:

Ubardo hasn't been good. He gives up a lot of hits, and though he doesn't walk many people, he also doesn't strike out enough batters to dominate. To be fair, it's tough to pin the Panther's woes on this guy. It's been a total team effort.

First Half MVP:

Oh, let's say McPherson, though his numbers should pale in comparison to last year's .322, 138 RBI outburst. 

Second Half Preview:

It's time to strive for some dignity in the second half. GM Jose Gutierrez has tried to piece together some trades, but his patience level seems very low. He got Josh Beckett for nearly nothing, but traded him away less than 3 weeks later. There are some starting pitchers with good ERA's on the roster (Switzer, Ankiel, the recently acquired Marquis) but manager Tony Perez needs to get them out of the pen. Will the front office try trading off free agents like McPherson and Castro? At 20 under .500, it's pretty certain that Baltimore will post it's 6th losing season in a row...a streak that would likely get a real GM fired. Panther fans won't be so lucky...

Tom's Take

First Half
Recap:

It’s just not getting any better for the Panther fans.  GM Jose Gutierrez keeps making moves, but nothing seems to add up to a clear direction of where this team is going.  Add Beckett, trade him away.  Compete now, rebuild?  The careers of Vladimir Guerrero and Jeremy Sowers seem to have stalled out.  John Mayberry and El Ron Ubardo haven’t made impressive debuts, Kyle Lohse’s good year is going to waste—team is just a mess.

Biggest Surprise:

I guess it’s Mitchell Atkins.  As the closer for the Panthers, you don’t get a lot of work, but he was written off by most as a third rate minor leaguer and he’s put up a 0.73 ERA as a closer.  The ghost of Doug Jones.

Biggest Disappointment:

Plenty of candidates here, but Sowers has to be your winner.  He’s supposed to be a guy you can build a rotation around.  Not so much when you’re 3-13.

Man on the Spot Update:

I’m not even sure what happened to Sadler.  He’s not on a major league roster, so, that’s generally not a sign he’s come through is it?

First Half MVP:

I guess it’s Dallas McPherson, though he’s playing worse than he usually can be expected to.  It’s been that kind of year.

Second Half Preview:

It’s highly unlikely this team gets out of last place.  It’s probably a fight with Taipei for who gets the top draft pick and a long second half of sorting out what youngsters can play and where Jose has to try to spend some FA cash to fill holes for next year.

Down on the Farm:

I guess not every aspect of this franchise has the Loser tag on it. Miami won the AAA crown this year, thanks mostly to great starting pitching. But is anyone convinced that Saarloos, Burnett or Brock are the real deal? Lefty Ed Reed had a nice start in Rookie League, but Pat Brennan struggled. 


Euro Division


Darin's Take: A moment of silence for the Euro Division.........how the mighty have fallen. For years this was considered the toughest division in SLB; 3 years ago, 4 teams had winning records. In 2005, Ireland finished in last place with a 89-73 record. Now it appears that a losing record might get you a playoff spot. 6 non-first place teams in SLB would be leading the Euro right now, and 4 of them will miss the playoffs. Can anyone grow a set and bring some respect back to this storied division?

Tom's Take: You can bet the Osaka Ronin wish they’d stayed in Greece, they’d be in first by 6 games right now.  So, for the time, 42-48 gets you tops here and nobody is more than 2.5 out.  That means: 1.) sub .500 might take this thing and get you in the playoffs and 2.) it’s anybody’s to win.  Expansion really did some crazy stuff here, that’s for sure.

 




Predicted Finish:  Darin: 1st in Euro / Tom: 1st in Euro

Current Standing:  42-48 (1st in Euro)

Team BA/Runs Scored:  .273 / 420

Team ERA/Runs Allowed:  4.08 / 386

Current Team Salary:  $58,950,000

All-Star Selections:  C Johnny Estrada, 1B Nick Johnson, LF Kendry Morales, CF Alexis Rios


 


Darin's Take

First Half
Recap:

So far I've got the first place part of my prediction right, but unless the team goes 48-22 in the second half, I think my 90 win guess will look a bit silly. Still, first is first for the Knights, who just can't seem to win consistently. Injuries have been a big story in the first half, with extended DL stints by star players like Broadway, Upton, Reyes, and now Matsuzaka. The infielders are coming back after the break, and Broadway should be back in a few weeks. Another story has been Johan Santana. The guy can't buy a win, and his ERA has blown up this year. Joe Mays has pitched much better than a year ago, but now isn't getting the run support that netted him 19 wins. The offense is in very good shape, especially with Reyes and Upton back. 

Biggest Surprise:

Oliver Perez is 5-2, 3.60. He's been a big boost for the team, taking over Broadway's spot in the rotation and keeping the team in most games he pitches. Can't imagine Broadway would have pitched much better. 

Biggest Disappointment:

Santana for the win. 3-9 is bad, but it isn't about run support this year. His 4.42 ERA is nearly a full run worse than his career mark, meaning something's just not right this year. Hiding an injury?

Man on the Spot Update:

Critics warned that Volstad, who is still just 19, was rushed to the majors. His minor league stats weren't impressive, but here he is, 8-3 with a 3.08 ERA. Can't complain. 

First Half MVP:

Morales has been his normally dominant self, but I'm going with Nick Johnson here. His SLG is better than Morales, and he murders right-handed pitching. A deserving All Star.

Second Half Preview:

Yes, the team is 4 under .500, and yes, the division is tight, but London has to be in it to win it. You can't count on Matsuzaka returning, so the team ought to be in the market for a rental pitcher to get them through the second half and into the post season. The bullpen needs to be addressed as well. If the offense stays healthy, there really aren't any holes to fill. Will GM Sean O'Hallaran send some of his new draftees in a key deal or two?

Tom's Take

First Half
Recap:

They are in first place—we got that right—but it’s only because everybody else in the Euro blows.  Kendry Morales has had a down year, for him, and Jose Reyes has been hurt. Those guys carried the team last year.  Johan Santana has had a complete meltdown.  Matsuzaka is in a bit of a Sophomore slump going 5-7 so far.  Thankfully Rios and Volstad have stepped up to bail them out a bit.   

Biggest Surprise:

I’d probably say Chris Volstad.  He had a lot of hype, but that doesn’t always translate well into major league success.  He’s living up to it.

Biggest Disappointment:

It’s been a rough year for Johan Santana.  He’s 3-9, which isn’t all his fault, but with a 4.42 ERA, he’s not blameless either.

Man on the Spot Update:

Mays dropped his ERA by a run and a half and is now a sub .500 pitcher.  Talk about a tale of two seasons.  He’s been solid, though.

First Half MVP:

I’d say Nick Johnson.  .329 with 15 HR from him is probably a big part of why this team is in first.

Second Half Preview:

I still think things look bright for the second half here.  Morales should kick it up a gear and there’s no way Santana doesn’t get better, probably he’ll finish the year with a .500 record.  Winning the Euro seems likely, but they are giving the other teams a lot of hope.

Down on the Farm:

A bad team effort in Queens was not without its bright points. Daniel Callahan and Erik Lis both hit very well at first base, but were trumped by new draftee James McNulty. Trade one of these guys! The pitching has problems. Jim Russell could be on the fast track to the majors, especially if management chooses to let Rios go in free agency.



Predicted Finish:  Darin: 4th in Euro / Tom: 4th in Euro

Current Standing:  41-49 (2nd in Euro, 1.0 game out)

Team BA/Runs Scored:  .261 / 374

Team ERA/Runs Allowed:  4.31 / 409

Current Team Salary:  $59,000,000 

All-Star Selections:  P Shane Mungitt


 


Darin's Take

First Half
Recap:

Reports out of Scotland are disturbing. Season ticket holders are suing the team. Fans are rioting. A kilt factory has been burned to the ground. Rebel fans have a right to be angry. GM Carmelo Guarneri has waved the white flag on the 2013 season. Apparently someone told him the team was 8 under .500 and left out the "but just 1 game out of first" part, as the veterans are being traded away. The front office is paranoid about money, and with all the focus on setting up for the auction, have looked past the fact that the team is right there in a very winnable division. Just a few names that have departed Edinburgh this season: Peavy, Nathan, Verlander, Cabrera, Choi, Beckett, Beltran, Rollins. Ouch. Ironically, the team keeps winning (sort of) instead of folding up. The players that remain seem to have some self respect after all. 

Biggest Surprise:

Christopher Lambert is 7-5 and proving that he wasn't a fluke after all. Romero and Weaver have been decent as well. Maybe a move to the damp and cold environs of Stirling Stadium was what the doctor ordered here. 

Biggest Disappointment:

Ryan Howard. He didn't hit in Kyoto, he ain't hitting here.  

Man on the Spot Update:

Weaver hasn't fared well in the win-loss department, but he's been decent for a back end starter. The move to the smaller stadium has inflated his numbers a bit from last season; his road ERA is 3.90, compared to 5.68 at home. 

First Half MVP:

All Star Shane Mungitt doesn't care how big the stadium is, he's going to dominate. Look for him to vie for the Rolaids award this year.

Second Half Preview:

What's the plan, Stan? I would think that flip-flopping on the apparent rebuilding effort would cause more consternation among the fan base, but it's tough to give up when you're just a game back. It would be for me at least. There isn't much left to trade anyhow. I guess if you're going to try to free up as much cash as possible for the auction, guys like Harden and Howard may become available. I really can't predict what will happen down the stretch. If the team makes the playoffs (and mine doesn't)  I'll probably throw up.

Tom's Take

First Half
Recap:

I might say this team’s record is shock, given they are in a second and we both expected them to be in dead last.  But then again, the W/L is about on track for what we thought, we just didn’t count on everybody in the Euro playing .450 ball.  And, 1 game out of first, they are also 1.5 out of last.  I looked over the stats to point to something that stands out as to why this team is hanging in there, but I can’t find it.  Offense is always depressed by the Scottish weather, so you have to say, relatively, the youngsters are over performing.  Maybe that’s it.

Biggest Surprise:

Christopher Lambert.  He’s tied for the team lead in wins with 7 and has a respectable 4.22 ERA.  We’d sort of figured he was about 100 innings from being given up on.

Biggest Disappointment:

Among many options I’ll take Ryan Howard if just because the hopes were so high.  You can’t really say you expected more out of Runelvys, can you?

Man on the Spot Update:

Lambert and Romero are both pretty much your prototype 4/5 starters.  Nothing fabulous, but ERAs around 4.25.  Lambert is winning more with better run support.

First Half MVP:

Probably Rich Harden.  He’s leading in wins and taking on the top guys in the league.

Second Half Preview:

I still think when all is said and done, this team finishes in last.  I’m sticking to it.  Prove me wrong, Carmelo.

Down on the Farm:

More weird moves from the Scotland front office. Ben Broussard led the Squirrels in HR and RBI, so, naturally, he was cut. The pitching didn't fare well at all. The best performance this summer was by Evan Longoria, Scotland's first round draft pick, who will start the second half as the third baseman for the big league team.

 




Predicted Finish:  Darin: 2nd in Euro / Tom: 2nd in Euro

Current Standing:  40-51 (T-3rd in Euro, 2.5 games out)

Team BA/Runs Scored:  .264 / 405

Team ERA/Runs Allowed:  4.60 / 427

Current Team Salary:  $82,300,000

All-Star Selections:  LF Lance Berkman


 


Darin's Take

First Half
Recap:

Like the rest of the Euro, Paris can't put together a winning streak. The pitching has been decent enough, but the offense is not up to the standards we're used to from year's past. Berkman has been good, Morneau has been better (big All Star snub there), but it's a big drop off from there. Orlando Cabrera has done nothing since being claimed off waivers. Rookie Landon Powell has shown some flair behind the dish, but again, no one will confuse him for Mike Piazza. Losing perennial ace Jerome Williams in the second week of the season took the wind out of this team's sails, and it has done little to recover. He isn't expected to pitch at all this season, and Derek Thompson has fallen on hard times. Still, the team ERA is about what you would expect from the Pimps, so its' time for the hitters to step it up. 

Biggest Surprise:

Jon Ellis leads the team in wins (8) and has a 3.92 ERA. Nice pick me up for the team after Williams' season ending surgery. 

Biggest Disappointment:

Orlando Cabrera is arguably a first ballot Hall of Fame SS, but he has been terrible for Ireland, and now Paris.  

Man on the Spot Update:

Hal Kelly has not been great, falling into a platoon situation with Landon Powell. How long before he's relegated to the bench altogether?

First Half MVP:

I have to go with Ellis here. With Williams hurt (and Thompson sucking) the rotation could have been down to just 3 reliable starters, but Ellis has matured in a big way and kept the team in ballgames.

Second Half Preview:

The Pimps have been quiet on the trade front this year. Will GM Michael Taylor make a run at some bats to get back into this thing? The team is just 2.5 games back of London, so it seems worth a shot here. The team is the most expensive in the league, but some big salaries are coming off the books. If the next few weeks make it clear that the team won't contend, putting guys like Kim or Hudson on the market seems a wise move. If Paris were in any other division, I'd say it was time to call the season and look to the future, but in the Euro, anything is possible. The story continues...

Tom's Take

First Half
Recap:

The Pimps have to be the happiest team in the league to have had the miserable start they’ve had but yet still find themselves a series sweep from first place.  It really has been unwatchable in stretches for this team, but they’ve also had some hot streaks to drag themselves out of the league’s basement.  The team, which has usually been free of major injuries has been hit hard this year, especially with Jerome Williams, the teams only reliable starter, out for the season.  Morneau and Berkman are still terrors, but this team’s offense is just a shell of its former self.  Clearly, GM Michael Taylor has some work to do.

Biggest Surprise:

Jon Ellis is probably the team’s best pitcher so far, with the most wins and a sub 4.00 ERA.  A surprise, yes.  A good sign.  No.

Biggest Disappointment:

It’s either Jerome Williams injury or Orlando Caberera’s offensive production.

Man on the Spot Update:

OK, this was a good call.  Hal Kelly has come back to earth with a .236 average.  The magic is gone, kids.  It moved to Georgia.

First Half MVP:

It’s probably Morneau again.  He’s really become the man here.

Second Half Preview:

It would shock me none if this team wins the Euro.  London should have put them away, but they haven’t.  Without Williams they can’t pitch a lick, but that hasn’t stopped them before.  They could make a couple of call ups and really make a statement.  Will they?

Down on the Farm:

Ah, this is where all the offense is. Quebec knocked the crap out of the ball, with Head, Gourriel and Pope leading the way. Ryan Anderson continues to show he's back, while Mark Pawalek won 10 games. Ridiculously high batting averages from the new hitters in RL. 




Predicted Finish:  Darin: 3rd in Euro / Tom: 3rd in Euro

Current Standing:  39-50 (T-3rd in Euro, 2.5 games out)

Team BA/Runs Scored:  .249 / 326

Team ERA/Runs Allowed:  4.51 / 417

Current Team Salary:  $66,650,000

All-Star Selections:  P A.J. Burnett, P Kerry Wood


 


Darin's Take

First Half
Recap:

Ireland heads into the break just 2.5 games back, but with 2 more games than Paris left, giving them a slight advantage down the stretch. It hasn't been a good team, neither hitting nor pitching terribly effectively. Okay, Wood and Burnett have pitched well, and Dan Wheeler deserves props in an exhausted bullpen, but overall, the team has given up nearly 100 more runs than it has scored. Why just 4 relievers in the pen? The extra players on the bench aren't helping any, and some of these guys are in danger of throwing 80-90 innings by year's end. Strange. It has been a new lineup almost every day, but nothing is working out. Dunn, Kearns and Sweeney have been good (when healthy) but outside of that, you're looking at a lot of easy outs. 

Biggest Surprise:

Marlon Byrd is hitting .307/.371/.500. Why can't he stay in the lineups? 

Biggest Disappointment:

Mark Kotsay is floundering in the .240's with just 2 HR. 

Man on the Spot Update:

Dunn has been the best producer, but on this team, that's not saying much. No way he was going to live up to his spring numbers, but his .800+ OPS has only netted 36 RBI to date.

First Half MVP:

Kerry Wood has done very well this year, and would easily have a winning record with more run support.

Second Half Preview:

Like the other Euro division teams, Ireland is right in the playoff hunt. But this is the one team I just don't see doing much in the second half. I'm sure GM Tony Blake would like to avoid another cap hit, and if he's looking ahead to the off season, might want to consider trading away the big salaries of guys like Burnett and Vazquez. Might we see some Boog Johnson or Earl Hickey come September? Those guys have as much of a chance to turn around this offense as anyone. 

Tom's Take

First Half
Recap:

Only one starter, Vazquez, has a winning record and his ERA is 5.66.  So how is this team still in it?  It ain’t hitting.  With the exception of Mike Sweeney (no, really) and maybe Adam Dunn, the offense is typical Northern European scuff-ballers.  They’re hanging around, though, and with some reliable arms on the staff, they could easily take this thing.

Biggest Surprise:

Mike Sweeney.  Tell me you hadn’t written that guy off and check out those stats.  No, really, go look.

Biggest Disappointment:

Jason Lane below the Mendoza line.  Back.  To.  Sucking.

Man on the Spot Update:

Dunn is leading the team in HR, which, for the record is 14.  So, he’s not a complete goat, but he’s not carrying the team, either.  He’s not likely to get his 120 RBI.

First Half MVP:

It’d be Wood or Burnett if they could get some run support.

Second Half Preview:

I still think 2nd or 3rd is a lot more likely than 1st for the Invaders, but you could make a case that with Wood and Burnett, Ireland has the best starting rotation in the Euro.  Losing Urbina means they’ll have to find some way to coble together a bullpen, and that seems a tall order. 

Down on the Farm:

Ireland never has many rookies, choosing to fill their AAA with veterans instead. McCutchen, Weglarz and Hayes may be changing their minds about that, as all hit great in AAA. The team focused on more hitting in the draft, and they couldn't have asked for more from Johnson, Hickey or May. The less said about the pitching the better.


Far East Division


Darin's Take: The inaugural year in the Far East has been anything but dull. Osaka has been right there all year, while the former Tennesseeans have flourished in Thailand. Kyoto has been unable to put a long win streak together, but they are right in this as well. Sure, Taipei isn't going anywhere this year, acting more like an expansion team than their Puerto Rican counterparts, but they aren't an easy win either. Looks like it may be the most competitive division down the stretch, as there is no guarantee that 2nd place here will get the wildcard.

Tom's Take: The big news here is that Ben Royer’s rebuilding plans are, apparently, working out.  Osaka had caught up with and passed them but a slew of pitching injuries in the last 2 weeks puts their future in real doubt.  Kyoto has had the hot hand as of late and could be considered the favorite, really, to take this thing.  Taipei is playing like an expansion team, pretty much.

 





Predicted Finish:  Darin: 2nd in Far East / Tom: 3rd in Far East

Current Standing:  48-41 (1st in Far East)

Team BA/Runs Scored:  .265 / 383

Team ERA/Runs Allowed:  3.70 / 351

Current Team Salary:  $61,000,000

All-Star Selections:  P Joe Nathan, P Ricky Stone, P Justin Verlander, C Tony Montana, SS B.B. Boo-Ya


 


Darin's Take

First Half
Recap:

Let's just ask this up front: Owner of the Year? Seriously. Taking a page out of Jim Masters' book, GM Ben Royer saw his opportunity to move out of the cellar this year and got aggressive with his roster, adding quality veterans to his up and coming core of youth. The results have been positive, as a first place spot at the break would indicate. It's a blueprint that seems to work: build internally through the draft for 2 or 3 years, take your lumps while the rookies develop, then sign some big names when the youngsters are ready to shine. This division isn't sewn up by a long shot, however, as Osaka is just 1/2 a game back, and with the surprising Senadores in the South, first place is the only guarantee of a post season invite. 

Biggest Surprise:

Justin Verlander has been good in his career, but was barely above .500 in the pitching friendly climes of Scotland a year ago. No one saw a 8-1, 1.60 first half coming. 

Biggest Disappointment:

Cap Jackson. May be the biggest disappointment of all time, hyperbole be damned. This kid was hyped for 2 or 3 seasons before the 2012 draft, but to this point, has barely hit his weight. 

Man on the Spot Update:

Though not quite back to his 2011 Cy Young form, Joe Nathan has done everything Royer had hoped for. A nice guy to have at #2. 

First Half MVP:

We've mentioned Verlander, so I'll go with Thurman Murman. How he sat at home while Montana played the ASG is beyond me.  .297 with 82 RBI makes him far and away the best offensive catcher in the league. 

Second Half Preview:

The team is healthy and ready to go for the stretch run. How much longer will we see Jackson making easy outs in the #2 spot in the order? When he gets on base he's dynamite, but his OBP is a dismal .268. Royer has made magic on the trade market, and would do well to upgrade from the horror that is Andrew Allen (1-6) and Cliff Lee (6.33) in the bullpen. Winning head to head matchups with Osaka and Kyoto will be what wins this for the Kwaan.

Tom's Take

First Half
Recap:

This team would get my vote for the biggest surprise of 2013.  Amazing what a change of scenery can do, eh?  Not only has the Kwaan surprised, but they’ve done it without any real contribution from Cap Jackson, the expected savior. The plan of getting the speedsters on for Thurman Murman to drive in is working quite swimmingly and you could argue that Verlander and Joe Nathan are the best 1-2 starters in the league for the first half.

Biggest Surprise:

I’ll pick Verlander for my MVP, so how about Crawford?  He’s back at the top of his game and do ya think that might have something to do with hearing too much about “Mr. Hype,” Cap Jackson?  Ol’ Carl still has some game left.

Biggest Disappointment:

That would be Mr. Hype.  Future MVP my ass.

Man on the Spot Update:

Cap Jackson, so far, is a total bust.  Team is still in 1st, though, so probably another bad pick for me.

First Half MVP:

Verlander.  First Half Cy Young, too, probably.

Second Half Preview:

With Osaka hobbled by injuries, there’s no reason Chiang Mai can’t win this thing.  They either need a turnaround or a trade to shore up the pen and they need the Verlander start to be for real, but, just maybe.

Down on the Farm:

Springfield was pretty bad this year, but this is what one expects when the best young players are in the majors. Buck Swope didn't hit nearly as poorly as we had thought, though he did strikeout about 30% of the time. The team is happy with their new draftees. Top overall pick Joe Belinda didn't hit a lot of homers, but his .386 average has scouts buzzing. Bayne hit .400 and stole 29 bases. 




Predicted Finish:  Darin: 1st in Far East / Tom: 1st in Far East

Current Standing:  48-42 (2nd in Far East, 0.5 game out)

Team BA/Runs Scored:  .286 / 510

Team ERA/Runs Allowed:  4.69 / 437

Current Team Salary:  $77,350,000

All-Star Selections:  P Ben Sheets, 1B Dave Peppers, 2B Alfonso Soriano, 3B Chest Rockwell, SS Alex Rodriguez, LF Walt Coon


 


Darin's Take

First Half
Recap:

Oh, the irony. GM Tom Hey moves his Evzones team out of the Euro, hoping to escape the perennial grind of a highly competitive division. Now he's in Osaka, where the competition is as fierce as ever, while the Euro has turned cupcake. What's done is done, as they say, and now Hey has to make it work in the Far East, where his league leading offense is making opposing pitchers cry. Five guys with 20+ HR, three with 75+ RBI. Not fair. Dave Peppers is the MVP of any league that doesn't have Darren Lemming in it. It will be interesting what the voters have to say at year's end. While the offense is rocking and rolling, the pitching has fallen into the "just good enough" category. If it can improve, the division should go to the Ronin.

Biggest Surprise:

Nothing this offense does surprises me anymore, so I'll go with Chris Bootcheck. This guy went from the unemployment line to the majors, and has been one of the only effective relievers on the staff. 

Biggest Disappointment:

Michael Pelfry, the AAAA pitcher? He dominated in the minors and rookie ball, but can't keep the ball in the park at the major league level.  

Man on the Spot Update:

Pelfry, to this point, hasn't lived up to "top prospect" expectations. He doesn't walk anyone, but that's because he leaves all his pitches over the plate. 

First Half MVP:

Peppers! This guy is rude, and it doesn't hurt that he's playing in a ballpark that is tailored to lefty power hitters. Barry Bonds' HR record doesn't look so untouchable these days.

Second Half Preview:

I think it's clear that the team could use another pitcher. Hey has not shied from going over the cap in the past, so if the right deal for a Burnett or Harden came along, he would be wise to take it. We know how important bullpens are in the playoffs, and at this point, this isn't a championship relief corps. The offense should keep bashing away, and if everyone stays healthy, could come close to breaking some records for team offense. 

Tom's Take

First Half
Recap:

The Ronin started off slow with the expected pitching, Sheets, Miller and Webb all having some bad outings.  They hit their way back, putting up the league’s best offense (only Atlanta is even close) and setting a record HR pace.  Rockwell is his usual self, but the story is Dave Peppers who just can’t be pitched to anymore.  If rookie call up Pat Jordan can hit, this might be one of the top offenses ever in SLB.

Biggest Surprise:

Maybe Chris Bootcheck.  Another Hey reclamation project, he’s been the most reliable arm in a bullpen that has little good to say for itself.

Biggest Disappointment:

Pelfrey, natch.  Another year another burnout 5th starter.

Man on the Spot Update:

Pelfrey was yanked and Kurt Ainsworth was, predictably, called up as plan B.  The Ronin can’t rid of Pelfrey though, as the John Webb injury means he’ll have to pitch some more innings.

First Half MVP:

Dave Peppers, clearly.  He’s huge in Japan.

Second Half Preview:

With some devastating injuries to the pitching staff, the Ronin are probably looking at trying to just win some ugly games until October rolls around.  They are sure to try to land another arm, but if nothing is available, they have the only offense that can really carry a team of bad pitching to a division title.  Don’t plan on too many short afternoons when the Ronin come to town.

Down on the Farm:

Usually the Osaka front office doesn't keep good players in the minors very long, but their patience with kids like Brown got Ft. Wayne into the playoffs. Kurt Ainsworth went a perfect 12-0, earning a call up to replace Pelfry, who went on to dominate RL hitting. Brown is nasty, but until Derrek Lee retires, doesn't have a spot in the Ronin lineup. Found some more power in 1B Ken Ryu, but when will he ever replace Peppers? Pat Jordan started hot in the RL, but has yet to do much in the majors.





Predicted Finish:  Darin: 3rd in Euro / Tom: 2nd in Far East

Current Standing:  45-43 (3rd in Far East, 2.5 games out)

Team BA/Runs Scored:  .273 / 382

Team ERA/Runs Allowed:  4.60 / 416

Current Team Salary:  $82,200,000 ($87,500 luxury tax)

All-Star Selections:  P Francisco Cordero, P Barry Zito, 2B Chase Utley, CF Josh Hamilton


 


Darin's Take

First Half
Recap:

It's been a season of missed opportunities for the Bushido, who, despite a quality (and expensive) roster of players, have been hovering around .500 all year. What gives? Barry Zito has been resurgent, Mark Mulder wins, the middle of the lineup is very good...who knows. Even the thrown together rotation has worked, as Greinke, Garland and Cruz have all performed above expectations. The team cut ties with several players who just weren't working out, including promising SS Matt Bush and newcomer 1B Ryan Howard. Middle relief is a problem, but that shouldn't e enough to keep the team down. 

Biggest Surprise:

Jon Garland. Little more than a .500 record and an ERA around 4.75 was expected, but he has been a solid 3rd starter. If only he had started in the rotation instead of Benson. 

Biggest Disappointment:

John Riedling was a big ticket FA pick up who has not earned his money in a setup role.  

Man on the Spot Update:

Kris Benson was awful, sent packing on waivers, hopefully never to return again.

First Half MVP:

Josh Hamilton just never lets you down. Awesome as ever in CF, leading the team in Avg., hits, RBI, SLG, and OBP.

Second Half Preview:

With the rotation settled and Choi added to the middle of the lineup, the Bushido should continue their recent string of good play. The team still needs a SS, especially one that can lead off. Relief is also an area that should be upgraded, but with the team already over the cap, it may be a parade of rookies to see who can hold down a job. Don't expect the Bushido to fall out of the race any time soon. 

Tom's Take

First Half
Recap:

Kyoto has been the hottest team the last couple of weeks and that allowed them to close the gap in the Far East to 2.5 games.  The offense has been hitting on all cylinders, especially Chase Utley and the three Bushido with 20+ HR, Choi, Dalton and Hamilton.  Rookie Kiel Thibault and vet Mike Lowell have been disappointments, on the other hand.  Zito and Mulder have been the best lefty tandem on any staff, but the rest of the staff has been off and on.

Biggest Surprise:

That’s a tough one.  All the starting pitchers are a little surprising.  Zito is having as good a year as he’s ever had, which is probably the biggest standout.

Biggest Disappointment:

Mike Lowell.  Buck Eighty-Nine.  How ya livin’ buddy?

Man on the Spot Update:

Yeah, Benson is a bad pitcher.  And, lucky for them, the Bushido got rid of him.

First Half MVP:

Either Zito or Utley.  I’ll go with Utley.  He just flat out hits.  Mr. Consistency.

Second Half Preview:

GM Darin Keesing has had a long time in the weeds since the former Diablos were world champs.  He has to be eager to stay in a pennant race.  With a pen that is Francisco Cordero and suckitude and a rotation that has to get some good innings out of Juan Cruz and Zach Grienke, I wouldn’t put too much cash on that, but, given the state of this division, maybe they can hit their way to the top.  It’s them or Osaka who will do it.

Down on the Farm:

The Happy Smile Wish Whatever Team played very well this year. Theodore Unger has emerged as a legit pitching prospect, going 10-5, 3.44 in AAA and 2-3, 2.55 in Rookie League. The team was thrilled with the Miller twins, though neither is likely to play in Kyoto this year. Tim Gudex's strong start in RL had many believing he'd be in the majors by now, but he started getting thumped late. 





Predicted Finish:  Darin: Last in Far East / Tom: Last in Far East

Current Standing:  37-52 (Last in Far East, 11 games out)

Team BA/Runs Scored:  .254 / 355

Team ERA/Runs Allowed:  4.48 / 418

Current Team Salary:  $59,250,000

All-Star Selections:  LF Albert Pujols, LF Nick Swisher


 


Darin's Take

First Half
Recap:

Taipei is playing like an expansion team should. Some of the players on the roster are earning jobs for next year, while the rest are likely on the way out. Either way, rookie GM Dylan Goforth is getting valuable information for the upcoming off season, where he can really make his first splash. The offense has been pretty thin, with Nick Swisher outplaying perennial All Star Albert Pujols...not good. Bobby Crosby has been effective at short, but the corner IF's of Youkilis (hurt) and Konerko (DFA'd) have left the lineup with too many easy outs. Recent draftees Tom Maple and Dan Posedel have been brought up for evaulation, with the latter outplaying the former to this point. Expectations weren't high here, so there's nothing to be disappointed about.

Biggest Surprise:

The trifecta of ex-Kyoto pitchers, Mexico, Striker and Whelan, have all played better than their days in Cuba. Considering they came over for Ryan Howard, this looks like one of the best trades of the year, giving the Tai Fong a core of young arms to build around.

Biggest Disappointment:

"King" Felix has played like anything but. Taipei's top supplemental pick was supposed to ace this staff, but he didn't win a game until June. Total bust.

Man on the Spot Update:

Hernandez again. His "make or break" season is broke.

First Half MVP:

Nick Swisher hasn't been a superstar, but he has played well enough to earn a new contract here. 

Second Half Preview:

A last place finish looks inevitable, so it might be wise to shop some of the FA's and set up for the auction. Additionally, if there are any kids in the minors who might benefit from big league playing time, call them up. Not sure how many rookies Goforth wants to start the FA clock on, however. 

Tom's Take

First Half
Recap:

Well, OK, this is what we expect from an expansion team.  The second worst record in the league and a lot of rookies out there learning on the job.  Taipei has already called up 4 rookies from the draft and a couple, like Posedel and Whelan are already looking like future stars.  What has really hurt this team is the lackluster efforts by the vets.  Trade Pujols now!

Biggest Surprise:

Might be Dan Posedel.  Or just how many 2013 draftees have been called up to the Show already.

Biggest Disappointment:

Felix Hernandez.  1-9.  King “Feel this.”

Man on the Spot Update:

Ron Mexico has actually been pretty good.  7-6 with a 3.68 ERA.  He’s probably their best starter, so he’s got a future.

First Half MVP:

Nick Swisher?  Ron Mexico?  Ted Striker?  Darin for developing the last two and letting them get to Taipei?

Second Half Preview:

Mostly a matter of giving people tryouts to figure out what to build around in the off season and where the cash needs to go.  If they don’t see much out of guys like Garcia and Neugebauer, they should probably waiver them and get rid of them.  This team need to think about freeing up cash as well as grooming the farm prospects.

Down on the Farm:

The Calrissians did Wyoming proud, winning 52 games in their inaugural season to finally bring winning baseball to this oft-forgotten state. Hitters like Thompson and Jones played above their abilities. Maple and Posedel, Taipei's top two picks in the draft, are already in Taiwan, leaving Sheppard and Alten to kick butt in RL. Stidfole struggled in AAA, but straightened things out in rookie ball.